Showing posts with label extensions. Show all posts
Showing posts with label extensions. Show all posts

Monday, 16 May 2016

Fibonacci Retracements and Fibonacci Extensions - buy forex trading signals

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Fibonacci Retracements and Fibonacci Extensions ~ buy forex trading signals


Important Fibonacci levels



61.80 Fib Retracement | 61.80 % and 100 % Fib Extension levels

Understanding Fibonacci Analysis



The charts below show the importance of the Fibonacci Analysis, which consists of Fibonacci Retracement levels as well as Fibonacci Extension levels.

Fibonacci Retracement levels highlight some important price levels during the retracement of a recent swing, which could lead to some price reaction. The 61.80 % Fibonacci retracement is the most important price retracement level (IMO).

The Fibonacci Extension level is the complete price range of a recent swing moved to the highest retracement level of this recent swing to target important price levels during the next impulsive leg, Hence the Fibonacci Extension levels can be drown when the retracement of the recent impulsive swing has terminated. The deepest price retracement level is the price point where the complete price range of the recent impulsive swing gets plotted on to show hidden Support/ Resistance levels. Important Fibonacci Extension levels are the 61.80 % Extension and the 100 % Extension. A minor Fibonacci Extension level is the 161 % level.

The Fibonacci Retracement gets employed first to find important price retracement levels when a recent swing is getting retraced whereby the Fibonacci Extension gets employed when the retracement terminates and a new impulsive leg starts to find important hidden support/ resistance.


On the 1 hour chart below we see that the 100 % Fibonacci Extension from the first leg down plotted on the beginning of the next leg down marks the price zone, where the EUR/USD found hidden Support after market breached the daily S2 Pivot.


fibonacci extension
1 hour Fibonacci Extension



On the 5 min chart below the 61.80 % Fibonacci Retracement provided resistance to the price retracement of the larger leg down (blue arrow). Further, the leg down consists of three minor swings/ waves down,  whereby momentum was fading away with every new swing. The retracement of the first leg down started at the daily support level (pink line) after market failed to break the daily S2 Pivot.


euro us dolar chart analysis
5 min Fibonacci Retracement


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Tuesday, 26 April 2016

Fib extensions and retracements - forex trading entry signals

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Fib extensions and retracements ~ forex trading entry signals


Fibonacci Trading


 Fibonacci retracement and extension levels


 Fibonacci Trading

1 hour  Fibonacci Trading



Today in the beginning of the European session the Euro moved up to the 100 % fib extension (1-2 at 3) and daily R1 at 1.2548. The Euro struggled with this resistance level although EUR/USD moved up close to the weekly pivot point (1:35 p.m. GMT, 4). However, EUR/USD failed to close above this resistance zone (1.2548) on the hourly basis so that market moved lower (1:35 p.m.) to find some support at the rising hourly 10 SMA (red line-5). From there, the Euro strongly moved up above the prior resistance zone at 1.2548 (second test) and market was able to close above the weekly pivot on the hourly (second test) and 4-hourly basis (candle close at 4 p.m.). The hourly candle (3-4 p.m.) approximately closed at (respected) the 61.80 % retracement and daily R2, which in the following got broken with the beginning of the next hourly candle (4-5 p.m.) and the Euro moved up to the 100 % fib extension at 1.2603 (6).

 Butterfly sell pattern
5 min Butterfly sell pattern

Fibonacci Retracement at 61.80 %


On the 5 min chart we see that the Euro very often reacted at the 61.80 % fib retracement marked with the 0 on the 5 min chart and also at the 100 % fib extension market with the 1 on the 5 min chart (important Fibonacci levels). At the beginning of the London trading session at 9 a.m. the Euro made a abc retracement before market moved up to the 100 % fib extension at 1.2554. In the following market formed a typical 3-wave consolidation pattern/ butterfly (circled). After the termination of the consolidation the Euro reached the typical butterfly target (127 % fib extension-1-0 at 0) before EUR/USD reversed and took out the low of the prior consolidation (1.2526), which is also typical for a butterfly pattern. The Euro found support at the 10 SMA on the hourly Chart (2-3 p.m.) and formed a kind of ending diagonal on the 5 min chart (ED). In the following, the Euro strongly moved up to the 100 % fib extension, where market consolidated.


More info for Fib extensions and retracements ~ forex trading entry signals:
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Monday, 18 April 2016

Gap Analysis in Forex - forex trading eur usd signals

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Gap Analysis in Forex ~ forex trading eur usd signals


Trading the Gap Close


Monthly Pivot Trading




Timing Trading Startegies
4 hour Timing Trading Strategies


Monthly Pivot Point
Daily Monthly Pivot Point



Trading market Gaps in Forex


The Euro opened with a market gap to 1.2624, which is the resistance zone of the 61.80 % fib retracement and the low of January 2012 (orange line) (EUR/USD Market Recap 07.06.12).

Market moved above this resistance (second test) but could not overcome the monthly pivot point at 1.2661. From there, the Euro bounced back and in the following EUR/USD (Forex) closed the gap from today.


On the 4 hour chart we see that the 4-hour candle closing at 12 a.m. GMT respected (closed at) the weekly pivot. Initially after the 4 hour candle closed market breached the weekly pivot point and EUR/USD formed a typical 3-wave consolidation pattern (5 min chart) below the weekly pivot before market resumed its down trend to close todays gap (Gap Trading).


Gap Trading
1 hour Gap Trading


On the 1-hour chart we see that the Euro also closed at (respected) the daily pivot with the 3 p.m. candle before market initially breached the daily pivot point in the beginning of the next hourly candle.

Forex Market currently found some support at the daily 10 SMA.

More info for Gap Analysis in Forex ~ forex trading eur usd signals:
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Sunday, 10 April 2016

Fib extensions - forex trading signals free software

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Fib extensions ~ forex trading signals free software


Trading the Fib extension levels 

Important Fib Extensions: 61.80 % 100 % 161 % 


Candlestick pattern Doji
Daily Candlestick pattern Doji

Yesterday, the Euro found resistance at Januarys low 2012 (orange line) and the 61.80 % fib retracement of the recent swing (EUR/USD Market Recap 07.06.12).

Yesterdays daily candle could not close above the 20 SMA and closed in the price range of the prior daily candle (false breakout). Furthermore, market formed a Doji bar or evening star chart pattern, which led to a sharp drop in price in todays Asian and European session.


Weekly Pivot point S/R
1 hour Weekly Pivot point S/R

Fibonacci Levels and Fibonacci Trading

On the hourly chart we see that the sharp price drop started at 1 a.m. GMT ,right after yesterdays daily doji bar closed. The Euro got initially pushed down by the 10 SMA and 20 SMA. The price drop at 1 a.m. triggered the bear flag (blue circle) and the Euro moved to the 100 % fib extension (A-B at C ) and formed the second bear flag (D) at the green trend line and the 100 % fib extension (also 61.80 % fib retracement).

In the following, the Euro broke put of the bear flag and resumed its down trend  to the weekly pivot point. (EUR/USD respected the resistance in form of a bear, which means that market could not sufficiently bounce back from support-bearish signal). Recently, market respected (touched) the hourly 10 SMA (green circle) at 3 p.m. and broke through it with the next hourly candle. The 4-hour candle closing at 4 p.m. also looks like a doji (support at the weekly pivot).

ending diagonal, bear flag, chart analysis
5 min ending diagonal, bear flag


On the 5 min chart we see the different bear flags (circled). After EUR/USD broke out of the first bear flag (blue circle) the Euro went to the 161,80 % fib extension (1-2 at 3) where market formed the second bear flag (red circle).The Euro broke out of the bear flag and went to the 100 % fib extension (5-6 at 7).

The EUR/USD found support at the weekly pivot (slightly penetrated but no confirmation, stop fishing below the low of June 6th-blue line) where it formed a kind of ending diagonal ((8-impulsive,9-correction, abcde-ending diagonal). The correction high (9-green line) is the initial target after the ending diagonal terminated, which market reached quickly (directional move). Recently, the Euro found resistance at the daily S2 (1.2492-not shown), the prior consolidation (red circle) and particularly the 61.80 % fib retracement (5-e-not shown) at 1.2493.


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Tuesday, 22 March 2016

Butterfly buy pattern - bk forex trading signals

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Butterfly buy pattern ~ bk forex trading signals


Fibonacci Price Targets


161 % Fibonacci Extension target and 61.80 % Fibonacci Retracement


Butterfly Buy Pattern on 5 min chart.


On the 4 hour chart of the EUR/USD we see that market price found support at the 61.80 % Fibonacci retracement and the daily S1 Pivot. From there, the Euro moved up to the 4-hour 10 Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the daily and weekly Pivot point resistance, where price started to slightly retrace back.

EURUSD chart analysis
4-hour Fibonacci  Retracement


The 5 min Euro Chart below shows the development of a Butterfly buy chart pattern, which led to the sharp price reversal visible on the 4-hour chart.

The large black circle shows the butterfly pattern -three wave consolidation-after an impulsive move. The Euro passed the minor/ first butterfly buy target at 127 % Fibonacci Extension of the consolidation pattern and market price moved further to the final 161 % Fibonacci level of the Butterfly buy pattern. From there, the Euro reversed sharply to the upside and market reached the 161 % Fibonacci Extension of the whole swing from the high of the consolidation pattern/ Butterfly pattern to the market low.

In addition, the 161 % Fibonacci Extension level at the market bottom, which usually acts as the buying opportunity in the butterfly buy chart pattern, also coincided with the 100 % Fibonacci Extension level (of the recent swing down prior to the consolidation pattern moved to the high of the consolidation pattern).

Furthermore, the final 161 % Butterfly target coincides with the weekly Pivot point. The daily Pivot point might have acted as further resistance zone.

Butterfly buy pattern
5 min Butterfly buy pattern

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