Showing posts with label weekly. Show all posts
Showing posts with label weekly. Show all posts

Sunday, 22 May 2016

Importance of the 200 SMA - forex binary trading signals

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Importance of the 200 SMA ~ forex binary trading signals


EURUSD Technical Chart Analysis 



The 200 Simple Moving Average


The Euro


found resistance at the downward sloping 200 SMA (Simple Moving Average) and support at the daily S1 after market took out the stops and triggered the breakout limit orders below the recent low on the left side of the chart (blue line). After the Stop Run - Market Manipulation - got accomplished there was "nothing" to hold back the Euro from rising upwards. The resistance of the recent low (blue line) and the 20 SMA (purple line) got respected and broken with the beginning of the new hourly candle (Breakout Timing). For example market closed at the 20 SMA resistance with a strong candle and the EUR/USD broke through this resistance level with the beginning of the new hourly candle at 8 a.m. on the 1st October.



In general, the 200 SMA is often acting as support/ resistance and the 200 SMA shows the larger trend direction if the SMA, particularly when this Simple Moving Average is strongly sloping. Otherwise, the 200 SMA indicates a sideways range bounded market when the 200 SMA is more flat than sloping.


200 sma, bullish rejection candle
1 hour 200 SMA


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Friday, 20 May 2016

Weekly Video Analysis UsdJpy AudJpy GbpJpy CadChf EurGbp - forex trading signals indicators

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Weekly Video Analysis UsdJpy AudJpy GbpJpy CadChf EurGbp ~ forex trading signals indicators


Yen may continue its weakness against major currencies especially the dollar. Currency pairs like Audjpy and Gbpjpy are also set for a long term further bearish move.
The technical chart of Eurgbp shows how Elliott wave theory can consolidate the formation of chart patterns.
The technical chart of Cadchf also indicates how Elliott wave can confirm harmonic patterns.
 When all these technical tools are combined, there is more clarity of what the market could do.


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Tuesday, 17 May 2016

Trading Result - most profitable forex trading signals

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Trading Result ~ most profitable forex trading signals


Forex Sniper Signal Service started late October 2016.
In the first three months , we have made more than 4000 pips and have averaged a 81.8% winning ratio.

Please click the link (date) below to view/download the result

1. Late October 2015 to January 2016         Result:   4424 Pips

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Tuesday, 26 April 2016

Weekly Euro USD Analysis - best forex trading signals software

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Weekly Euro USD Analysis ~ best forex trading signals software


Price Reversal


Triangle Consolidation



The weekly EURUSD Chart


shows the striking monthly low of January 2012. The Euro is currently trading at this striking low combined with the down sloping weekly 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA), which both is likely to act as resistance.

Weekly Euro US Dollar Chart Analysis
Weekly EUR/USD Chart Analysis



On the 1 hour chart we see the recent price breakout to the upside out of the large triangle consolidation pattern. The EUR/USD price moved up to the first butterfly sell target (127 %), which coincides with the daily R3 and monthly R1 Pivot Point resistance.



The confirmation of the butterfly pattern would implicate a larger price reversal below the recent triangle consolidation pattern. Thus, the prior market price breakout through the upside would get completely reversed - failed breakout. The price target of the butterfly sell chart pattern is normally the 161 % Fibonacci target - see popular chart patterns.



127 % butterfly target
1 hour Butterfly pattern, Triangle Breakout 


The 5 min chart below shows the price reversal at the resistance level. The failed price breakout candles might be seen as a evening star pattern. After the initial price reversal market created a typical three wave consolidation pattern and later a small bear flag before the Euro continued the downtrend to catch the stop orders below the recent striking low - Stop Running. Often a small price retracement occurs after the penetration of an important chart level like the recent striking low to catch also some stops of the breakout traders.



evening star pattern, stop fishing
5 min False Breakouts



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Thursday, 14 April 2016

Chart Pattern Analysis Forex Manipulation - forex auto trading signals

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Chart Pattern Analysis Forex Manipulation ~ forex auto trading signals


Trading the Forex Market Price Manipulation



Index:


Forex Price Rigging and Manipulating Series
  • Overview of the Forex Price Manipulation:
  • Is Forex too big to rig?
  • Price Rigging: Forex Market Manipulation analyzed!
  • Trading Strategy: How to trade with the FX Price Manipulation



Technical Chart Analysis and Trading Strategies
  • Support and Resistance levels, Consolidation patterns
  • Fibonacci Analysis
  • Breakout Trading Strategies
  • Important Chart Patterns -  Price Rejection, Fibonacci Extension, Continuation Chart Patterns
  • Do Popular Chart Patterns work? - Price Manipulation
  • High Probability Trading Setup Guide
  • Candlestick Chart Patterns

The Chart Analysis Legend includes the mainly used Chart Reading Patterns, Methods and Tools




My current shorter term trading strategy


Trading strategies and opinions have evolved and partly changed over time and will do so in future.

My current shorter term trading strategy is to read the intention of the Market Manipulators and to focus on their manipulative stop runs and faked mainstream trading signals at striking mainstream price levels like Highs/ LowsRound Numbers and Pivot Points in the Forex Majors like EUR/USD, GBP/USD.. EUR/GBP as well as in other markets like S&P 500 (SPY), Dow Jones Industrial, DAX...

I currently do not use Fibonacci analysis, trend lines, SMAs or any popular chart patterns. Often these mainstream trading signals are faked signals.

However, for the longer term, it is also very important to analysis the fundamentals of the currencies. I personally like the investment bank reports on http://www.efxnews.com,/ the analysis on zerohedge.com and the fx pulse reports and gic weekly from Morgan Stanley. 




Manipulation of Popular Chart Levels



The main message of this website is just below:

Popular Chart Levels are often tacitcally misused for faked Trading Signals and Stop Runs by Manipulators in the short run before the fundamentals regain and the major trends resume.


Some Popular Trading Levels:

  •  Important Highs/ Lows
  •  Round Numbers
  •  Pivot Points


Market price often comes back to popular chart levels like Round Numbers / Pivot Points and frequently penetrates them to trigger mainstream trading signals and to run for stops. Particularly, market Highs and Lows are important Manipulation points, where false price breakouts (false first breakout) occur to clear stop loss orders and to trigger breakout limit orders before market reverses back. Be careful with these mainstream trading strategies. Moreover watch out for pure stop runs at these chart levels, which can lead to a strong market turn around. In general, the first price breakout at important chart levels is often a false one.

Often a minor false price breakout or only a price touch of Round Numbers and Pivot Points comes with the first test of these chart levels to trigger close-by breakout orders and stop orders. The retracement to catch some stops of the breakout traders often gives the faked impression that the popular chart level holds as Support/ Resistance, thus encouraging mainstream traders to position accordingly. However, market often goes for a second test of the popular chart levels to clear the stop orders above/ below important chart levels before either retracing back or breaking through the price level targeting the next important mainstream level (stop order and limit order zone).

More in detail, if market price only touches (not really penetrating) the important chart level like Round Numbers and Pivot Points and retraces back then a second test of this market level is likely to catch the stop loss and breakout orders at this support / resistance levels of the traders who already had positioned themselves plus the new traders who interpreted the prior hold of the support/ resistance area as a reason to enter the market.
However, if market price already had penetrated the important support / resistance level to catch most of the stop loss orders and breakout orders before retracing back (failed first breakout) then the chances of a second test of the important chart level would diminish as the intention of the market manipulators to catch the stop loss orders and breakout orders already got accomplished.

Moreover, a clean break through a striking trading level without an immediate price retest is seldom and if so then the chance of a retest in near future is likely to catch stop orders of the breakout traders and to minimize the chance of an easy trade with a small stop lose at important price levels. Furthermore, the reiterating stop triggering process at striking chart levels would be in favour of a clean breakout to happen more often in the absence of any market price manipulation.

In general, market price goes there where the stop loss and breakout orders are anticipated.


Read more:  Overview of the Forex Price Manipulation




Below and in the left sidebar:  EUR/USD analysis from the past



Forex Market Manipulation Analysis



Daily Chart Analysis of the EUR/USD - Stop Hunting



The two orange arrows on the top of the 5 min EURUSD chart below (last chart) show examples for the Stop Hunting- and Market Price Rigging process and it further illustrates the importance of breakout trading strategies. The recurring manipulative Stop hunting strategy in Forex is used by the FX Manipulators to fool breakout traders with the typical failed first breakout. The Market Price Rigging Manipulation via Stop Runs allows the Forex Manipulators to catch the stops of the breakout traders and thus this price rigging strategy most often prevents the typical breakout trader to successfully participate in the true breakout.

Most often at striking price levels, like - highs/ lows/ round numbers/ mainstream Support and Resistance levels -, the market price manipulators enforce the failed first breakout - stop hunting. The Stops of the breakout traders get cleared, who entered the market after their limit orders got triggered through the penetration of the striking level.

Furthermore, many stop loss orders of other traders got also cleared through the slight penetration of the striking chart level. After the price rigging strategy got accomplished and most stops of the breakout traders are already taken out of the market then either the true breakout occurs to catch and clear farther positioned stop loss orders of other traders at the striking level or market reverses to target the opposite striking chart level where many stop loss orders of the fooled breakout traders are located and new breakout traders will try to catch the trend again.

Read More in the Price Rigging and Manipulation Series

The highlighted Doji candles on the 5 min and on the 1 hour chart could have been used as trading triggers. There are also many continuation chart patterns on the 5 min chart (green circles) and an inverted Head and Shoulders chart pattern on the 4 hour/ 1 hour chart.

Consolidation pattern, Pivot Points, SMA,SR
4 hour EUR/USD Chart Analysis/ Patterns
Inverse -Inverted- Head and Shoulders pattern, neckline,Doji
1 hour Inverse -Inverted- Head and Shoulders pattern, neckline, Doji
Doji candle, Continuation patterns,Pivots
5 min Doji candle, Continuation patterns,Pivots


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Sunday, 10 April 2016

Fib extensions - forex trading signals free software

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Fib extensions ~ forex trading signals free software


Trading the Fib extension levels 

Important Fib Extensions: 61.80 % 100 % 161 % 


Candlestick pattern Doji
Daily Candlestick pattern Doji

Yesterday, the Euro found resistance at Januarys low 2012 (orange line) and the 61.80 % fib retracement of the recent swing (EUR/USD Market Recap 07.06.12).

Yesterdays daily candle could not close above the 20 SMA and closed in the price range of the prior daily candle (false breakout). Furthermore, market formed a Doji bar or evening star chart pattern, which led to a sharp drop in price in todays Asian and European session.


Weekly Pivot point S/R
1 hour Weekly Pivot point S/R

Fibonacci Levels and Fibonacci Trading

On the hourly chart we see that the sharp price drop started at 1 a.m. GMT ,right after yesterdays daily doji bar closed. The Euro got initially pushed down by the 10 SMA and 20 SMA. The price drop at 1 a.m. triggered the bear flag (blue circle) and the Euro moved to the 100 % fib extension (A-B at C ) and formed the second bear flag (D) at the green trend line and the 100 % fib extension (also 61.80 % fib retracement).

In the following, the Euro broke put of the bear flag and resumed its down trend  to the weekly pivot point. (EUR/USD respected the resistance in form of a bear, which means that market could not sufficiently bounce back from support-bearish signal). Recently, market respected (touched) the hourly 10 SMA (green circle) at 3 p.m. and broke through it with the next hourly candle. The 4-hour candle closing at 4 p.m. also looks like a doji (support at the weekly pivot).

ending diagonal, bear flag, chart analysis
5 min ending diagonal, bear flag


On the 5 min chart we see the different bear flags (circled). After EUR/USD broke out of the first bear flag (blue circle) the Euro went to the 161,80 % fib extension (1-2 at 3) where market formed the second bear flag (red circle).The Euro broke out of the bear flag and went to the 100 % fib extension (5-6 at 7).

The EUR/USD found support at the weekly pivot (slightly penetrated but no confirmation, stop fishing below the low of June 6th-blue line) where it formed a kind of ending diagonal ((8-impulsive,9-correction, abcde-ending diagonal). The correction high (9-green line) is the initial target after the ending diagonal terminated, which market reached quickly (directional move). Recently, the Euro found resistance at the daily S2 (1.2492-not shown), the prior consolidation (red circle) and particularly the 61.80 % fib retracement (5-e-not shown) at 1.2493.


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Tuesday, 5 April 2016

SOME MORE STRATEGIES - how to understand forex trading signals

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SOME MORE STRATEGIES ~ how to understand forex trading signals







Bounce Back Strategy
3.77/5 (143 votes)
Learn to trade Forex using Bounce Back Strategy
This strategy can be used as a scalping method as well as for long term trades. It uses 24 ema to look for bouncing back of the price and enter the market with a buy limit order. It is not 100% accurate but it has consistently been profitable and anyone can adapt the strategy to his or her preference.

Crystal Time Frame Switcher
4.56/5 (137 votes)
Learn to trade Forex using Crystal Time Frame Switcher
The major problems of most strategies are entry and exit. A lot of trend trading techniques are out there but there are a few ways to filter entries and exits. In this strategy, the trend is determined by the direction of the BBands_Stop. After the trend is determined, we then move on to find a good entry and a good exit using the Fisher indicator and the Stochastic indicator with multi-timeframe analysis. It can be profitable if one can follow the rules of this trading strategy.

The Pouria Method
3.43/5 (142 votes)
Learn to trade the trend using the Pouria Method
The Pouria Method is a low risk and has a good risk-to-reward ratio. It capture only 15 pips of profit regardless of how big the trend. The reason is to avoid high risk. To have a good risk-to-reward ratio, the stoploss is set to 14. Due to the above two reason, the success rate can be as high as 90%

The Bible Forex System
4.62/5 (133 votes)
Learn to trade the trend using the Bible Forex System
This strategy should work well long term with this system and does bring in a good amount of pips per month. One can start trading at 6 am EST and wait till the trades are found. Usually within 3 hours, you are done.  At all times, one should follow the trading rules as a trader that is consistent in his rules is a successful trader.

Forex Trading Made Simple
3.30/5 (142 votes)
Learn to trade Forex using the TDI indicator
In this strategy, the TDI (Traders Dynamic Index) is used as it uses some of the most powerful indicators such as the RSI as well as other types of calculations to determine the trend and momentum of the pairs. The trade is then confirmed with the combination of the Synergy APB (Average Price Bar) Candle indicator and the Simple Moving Average.

VMA Trend Trading
3.20/5 (144 votes)
Learn to trade the trend using VMA
In this strategy, we are using the VMA indicator that is different from a regular SMA or EMA in that the VMA indicator have a variable of ADX worked into them. ADX measures the strength of trend, so basically we have a moving average that will move when prices are trending. When things are consolidating, the VMA will not move and may even go flat. This helps to solve the major problem of MA with its whipsaw nature. This strategy uses VMA 1 and VMA 4 in which VMA 1 uses ma length of 1 and adx length of 8 whereas VMA4 uses ma length of 4 and adx length of 8. Both indicators of VMA 1 and VMA 4 can go flat without crossing during sideway market and cross when the market is trending.

Price Action Scalper
3.91/5 (249 votes)
Read more

Thursday, 31 March 2016

Weekly Elliott Wave Analysis 11 01 (updated) - near trading forex signals

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Weekly Elliott Wave Analysis 11 01 (updated) ~ near trading forex signals


The elliott wave intraday and long term forecast and analysis of Gbpchf, Audchf, Euraud, Gold, S&P 500, Usdcad, Crude Oil, Dax 30, Eurgbp, Usdjpy






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Thursday, 24 March 2016

Weekly Support and Resistance - forex signals trading systems to autotrade for free

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Weekly Support and Resistance ~ forex signals trading systems to autotrade for free


EUR USD Weekly Chart Analysis



Support and Resistance levels


eurusd daily support resistance forex
Daily EURUSD Support Resistance in Forex


The EUR/USD High of 2012


acted as resistance before this chart price level got broken (see red circle = breakout timing) and the yearly high acted as support in the beginning of February.

However, this important chart level got broken to the downside again with the second test on the 7th of February (First test was the green candle on the 5th of February).

The Chart illustrates the changing role of major support and resistance depending on price action.

The green ellipses on these charts show consolidation patterns, which most often act as continuation pattern like bear/ bull flags or pennants.


In addition, the orange arrows on the chart below illustrate the importance of these consolidation price zones as potential Support and Resistance levels. Furthermore, the charts also show the importance of Pivot Points, which often act as Support/ Resistance too. Another important tool of the chart analysis is the 61 % and 100 % Fibonacci Extension, which shows potential hidden Support and Resistance levels (see last chart).


Consolidation patterns, S/R, Pivot Point
4 hour Consolidation patterns, S/R, Pivot Point

Weekly chart update eurusd technical analysis
1 hour Weekly Chart Update EUR/USD Technical Analysis

Head and Shoulders pattern,neckline,eurusd
5 min Head and Shoulders pattern, Neckline, EURUSD


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